Binance-App. © Kanchanara on Unsplash Polymarket and Kalshi are currently showing the crypto industry how it’s done, and the world’s largest crypto exchange doesn’t want to miss out on this business either: crypto giant Binance has introduced a new feature in its app — users can now participate in so-called prediction markets, i.e. probability-based markets where positions on real-world events are traded. As its launch partner, Binance has chosen the platform Predict.fun , which claims to be the leading on-chain provider for prediction markets on the BNB Smart Chain. What are prediction markets? Prediction markets allow participants to take positions on the outcome of future events, for example in the areas of sports, economics, world politics, culture, and crypto. Each possible outcome is represented by a share traded between $0.01 and $0.99. The price reflects the collective assessment of market participants regarding the probability of occurrence. When a market resolves, the correct share pays out exactly one US dollar. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket have strongly shaped the segment in recent years. According to data from TRM Labs, the monthly transaction volume across all prediction market platforms reached around $20 billion in January 2026, a twentyfold increase compared to early 2025. How does the Binance integration work? Trending Topics Newsletter Free twice a week — don’t miss a story! Sign Up Access is available directly through the Binance app in the “Markets” section under the “Prediction” tab. Upon first access, users must create a so-called Prediction Account, which automatically generates a keyless wallet based on MPC (Multi-Party Computation) technology. Existing balances from spot and funding accounts can be used directly for trading. Binance promotes the integration with several technical advantages: Gasless Trading: Binance Wallet covers all transaction and settlement fees on the BNB Smart Chain. Market and limit orders: Both order types are available. Easy onboarding: No complex setup — a single click is all it takes to get started. Keyless security: Access via MPC technology without a traditional seed phrase. Partner and technical foundation At launch, Binance is working with Predict.fun , a decentralized application (DApp) on the BNB Smart Chain. Binance explicitly emphasizes that it does not act as a market counterparty itself, but merely provides access to the platform within its own interface. Users are advised to also inform themselves directly at Predict.fun about the terms of service. Restrictions and regulatory notes Binance clearly points out several restrictions that are relevant for users: Prediction Markets are not offered by Binance ADGM entities and are only available to users with a Prediction Account. The Binance Wallet Services are provided by Binance Barbados Limited and are not subject to the supervision of the Financial Services Regulatory Authority or any other regulatory body. The feature is not available in all regions. In the event of discrepancies between the original English version and translations, the English version shall always prevail. The regulatory environment for prediction markets is internationally contested. In the United States, several states have filed lawsuits against platforms such as Kalshi, alleging that they offer sports betting without a license. The US authority CFTC, for its part, claims exclusive jurisdiction over the regulation of these markets. What Binance has to say “We are pleased to introduce Prediction Markets, a new feature that allows users to participate in probability-based markets through the Binance App, via an integration with third-party platforms.” With this move, Binance is positioning itself as a challenger to established prediction market platforms. The company is banking on its existing user base and the close integration with its own ecosystem, particularly the BNB Smart Chain. By having Binance Wallet cover all transaction fees, the barrier to entry for new users is set to be significantly lowered. Trend spreading across the crypto industry Binance’s entry is part of a broader trend: other major crypto platforms, including Coinbase, have also recently expanded their activities in the prediction markets space. Given a monthly market volume of $20 billion and a continuously growing user base, competition among providers is likely to intensify considerably in the coming months. Sign Up Advertisement Advertisement Aus Datenschutz-Gründen ist dieser Inhalt ausgeblendet. Die Einbettung von externen Inhalten kann in den Datenschutz-Einstellungen aktiviert werden: Datenschutz-Einstellungen